SlyxLoading…
Complete historical sample
Match played 17 September 2026 at 02:40. Later result: Won · Recorded 17 September 2026 at 11:00.
The sections below describe the estimate and inputs saved before the match. The recorded outcome is separate and does not change that estimate.
MLBWon
Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres
17 September 2026 at 02:40· Prague time
Bookmarks and favourites stay in this browser. Star a team or league to personalise the schedule.
Published selection
San Diego Padres ML
- Recorded odds
- 1.61
- Estimated chance
- 68 %
Outcome risk: Moderate · An estimate, not a certainty
Why this selection?
Historical analysis: its commentary lacks a verified data snapshot. The probability and odds are unchanged; the figures shown are recalculated from them.
What does your price change?
San Diego Padres ML
Enter the odds you see. Compare them with the published estimate and explore both possible outcomes.
Model scenario
Published estimate
68 %
Fixed at publication
Break-even chance
62.1 %
Changes with your odds
Loading chart…
Compare the estimate with the chance needed to cover your stake at these odds.
Difference
+5.89 pp
Above the model’s break-even point
A model comparison, not a measured advantage.
Two possible net outcomes
If won
+61 CZK
Estimated chance 68 %
If lost
−100 CZK
Estimated chance 32 %
Loading chart…
Payout incl. stake if won161 CZK
Model average (EV)
+9.48 CZK
Probability-weighted average, not the result of this match.
Arithmetic corrected from the original published inputs. Original records remain unchanged.
Advanced data and methodology
- Model version
- Historical version not recorded
- Input coverage
- —
- Published
- 16 Sept 2026, 11:02 · Prague
- Price source
- —
- Bookmaker updated
- Not recorded
- Expected return (model)
- 9.5 %
- Full Kelly (model calculation)
- 15.5 %
Model estimate from data and market · how we calculate it
Your next step
Get the context for more matches
Free access or Premium for 399 CZK/month. See exactly what each plan includes.