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Complete historical sample
Match played 8 October 2026 at 01:30. Later result: Lost · Recorded 8 October 2026 at 11:00.
The sections below describe the estimate and inputs saved before the match. The recorded outcome is separate and does not change that estimate.
Experimental model estimate; independently validated profitability has not been established.
NHLLost
Winnipeg Jets vs Colorado Avalanche
8 October 2026 at 01:30· Prague time
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Published selection
Colorado Avalanche
- Recorded odds
- 1.91
- Estimated chance
- 66.8 %
Outcome risk: Moderate · An estimate, not a certainty
Why this selection?
Colorado Avalanche: model estimate 66.84%, odds 1.91 at 1xBet, estimated return 27.67% per unit staked. The estimate uses odds from 14 bookmakers and team form. Below odds of about 1.50, the model estimates a loss. At the start of the NHL season, team form includes last season’s regular-season results with reduced weight. The result is uncertain.
Recent games and scoring averagesSee the results behind the form chart
- Winnipeg Jets
- Colorado Avalanche
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Goals / gameSame scale · 0–3.7
Home
Winnipeg Jets
- Sample
- 10 games
- Rest
- 2 d
For2.7
Against3.7
Latest resultsNewest first
5 Oct 2026 · PIT
Away
Colorado Avalanche
- Sample
- 10 games
- Rest
- 4 d
For3.3
Against1.5
Latest resultsNewest first
3 Oct 2026 · STL
Up to 5 prior results, newest first. Saved averages can use a larger sample. A short sample does not establish team strength.
Recorded
What does your price change?
Colorado Avalanche
Enter the odds you see. Compare them with the published estimate and explore both possible outcomes.
Model scenario
Published estimate
66.8 %
Fixed at publication
Break-even chance
52.4 %
Changes with your odds
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Compare the estimate with the chance needed to cover your stake at these odds.
Difference
+14.49 pp
Above the model’s break-even point
A model comparison, not a measured advantage.
Two possible net outcomes
If won
+91 CZK
Estimated chance 66.8 %
If lost
−100 CZK
Estimated chance 33.2 %
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Payout incl. stake if won191 CZK
Model average (EV)
+27.67 CZK
Probability-weighted average, not the result of this match.
What we found
Saved at publication · 7 October 2026 at 20:01
- 1Jets goalie Connor Hellebuyck is suspended and unavailable to start the season, weakening Winnipeg, though this has been known for weeks.
- 2Nathan MacKinnon has five points in Colorado's first two games, suggesting good early attacking form.
- 3Colorado's goalie for this game is not confirmed; Daily Faceoff only projects Scott Wedgewood to start.
All findings and sources
Sources
Jets star goalie Connor Hellebuyck (3x Vezina, 2024-25 Hart winner) was suspended by the team for failing to report to training camp after requesting a trade, and remains unavailable for the start of the season.
www.nhl.com · 17 September 2026 at 02:00
With Hellebuyck out, the Jets are using a new backup goalie, Clay Stevenson, claimed off waivers, with Stuart Skinner confirmed for the home opener and goaltending depth otherwise unsettled.
jetsnation.ca · 3 October 2026 at 02:00
Saved sources and match evidence
Match evidence
NHL20262027Regular season
Saved inputs for this analysis. Expand results to see the matches.
Advanced data and methodology
Best odds 1.91 (1xBet) · fair price 1.56 · play from 1.50
- Model version
- consensus-blend-v3
- Input coverage
- 65 %
- Published
- 7 Oct 2026, 20:01 · Prague
- Price source
- 1xBet
- Bookmaker updated
- 7 Oct 2026, 19:45 · Prague
- Expected return (model)
- 27.7 %
- Full Kelly (model calculation)
- 30.4 %
Model estimate from data and market · how we calculate it
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