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Complete historical sample
Match played 25 October 2026 at 20:00. Later result: Lost · Recorded 25 October 2026 at 23:00.
The sections below describe the estimate and inputs saved before the match. The recorded outcome is separate and does not change that estimate.
Experimental model estimate; independently validated profitability has not been established.
NHLLost
Chicago Blackhawks vs Florida Panthers
25 October 2026 at 20:00· Prague time
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Published selection
Over 6.5
What to select at the bookmaker: Total goals · Over 6.5
Including overtime and shootouts. Half line: no refund for an equal total.
- Recorded odds
- 2.25
Why this selection?
Over 6.5: model estimate 45.96%, odds 2.25 at unibet, estimated return 3.41% per unit staked. Including overtime and shootouts. Half line: no refund for an equal total. The estimate uses odds from 5 bookmakers and team form. Below odds of about 2.18, the model estimates a loss. The result is uncertain.
Recent games and scoring averagesSee the results behind the form chart
- Chicago Blackhawks
- Florida Panthers
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Goals / gameSame scale · 0–4
Home
Chicago Blackhawks
- Sample
- 10 games
- Rest
- 2 d
For2.2
Against4
Latest resultsNewest first
23 Oct 2026 · MTL
Away
Florida Panthers
- Sample
- 10 games
- Rest
- 3 d
For3
Against3.4
Latest resultsNewest first
22 Oct 2026 · PIT
Up to 5 prior results, newest first. Saved averages can use a larger sample. A short sample does not establish team strength.
Recorded
What does your price change?
Over 6.5
Enter the odds you see. Compare them with the published estimate and explore both possible outcomes.
Model scenario
Published estimate
46 %
Fixed at publication
Break-even chance
44.4 %
Changes with your odds
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Compare the estimate with the chance needed to cover your stake at these odds.
Difference
+1.52 pp
Above the model’s break-even point
A model comparison, not a measured advantage.
Two possible net outcomes
If won
+125 CZK
Estimated chance 46 %
If lost
−100 CZK
Estimated chance 54 %
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Payout incl. stake if won225 CZK
Model average (EV)
+3.41 CZK
Probability-weighted average, not the result of this match.
What is behind this estimate?
Saved numerical inputs and context are shown separately. An available report does not mean a factor changes the probability.
- Odds and market reference
- In model
- Team form and scores
- In model
- Rest and schedule load
- Context only
- Injury reports for both teams
- Not recorded
Saved sources and match evidence
Match evidence
NHL20262027Regular season
Saved inputs for this analysis. Expand results to see the matches.
Advanced data and methodology
Best odds 2.25 (unibet) · fair price 2.15 · play from 2.18
- Model version
- consensus-blend-v3
- Input coverage
- 65 %
- Published
- 25 Oct 2026, 12:00 · Prague
- Price source
- unibet
- Bookmaker updated
- 25 Oct 2026, 11:42 · Prague
- Expected return (model)
- 3.4 %
- Full Kelly (model calculation)
- 2.7 %
Model estimate from data and market · how we calculate it
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