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Complete historical sample

Match played 4 October 2026 at 19:00. Later result: Lost · Recorded 4 October 2026 at 23:00.

The sections below describe the estimate and inputs saved before the match. The recorded outcome is separate and does not change that estimate.

Experimental model estimate; independently validated profitability has not been established.

NHLLost

Detroit Red Wings vs Winnipeg Jets

4 October 2026 at 19:00· Prague time

My saved analyses →

Bookmarks and favourites stay in this browser. Star a team or league to personalise the schedule.

Published selection

Detroit Red Wings

Recorded odds: 2.53
Estimated chance: 50.1 %

Outcome risk: Higher · An estimate, not a certainty

Published · 4 October 2026 at 12:01

The selection and estimate are saved at publication. Your inputs in the calculator only change the comparison.

Compare my odds

Team form at a glance

Up to 5 prior games · shared 0–100% scale

Loading chart…

A snapshot of recent results, not a prediction of this match.

How to read the five axes

Five observed rates from up to five verified prior games, on the same 0–100% scale. This describes a short sample, not a prediction or a team strength score.

Wins = games won. Unbeaten = wins or draws (an overtime loss is a loss). Scored = games with at least one goal/run. Clean sheets = games without conceding. Scoring share = scored / (scored + conceded). The axes overlap; polygon size is not a combined rating.

Why this selection?

Detroit Red Wings: model estimate 50.08%, odds 2.53 at 1xBet, estimated return 26.71% per unit staked. The estimate uses odds from 15 bookmakers and team form. Below odds of about 2.00, the model estimates a loss. At the start of the NHL season, team form includes last season’s regular-season results with reduced weight. The result is uncertain.

Recent games and scoring averagesSee the results behind the form chart

Detroit Red Wings
Winnipeg Jets

Loading chart…

Goals / gameSame scale · 0–4.2

Home

Detroit Red Wings

Sample: 10 games
Rest: 2 d

For2.6

Against4.2

Latest resultsNewest first

2 Oct 2026 · NYR

Away

Winnipeg Jets

Sample: 10 games
Rest: 2 d

For2.5

Against3.9

Latest resultsNewest first

2 Oct 2026 · BOS

Up to 5 prior results, newest first. Saved averages can use a larger sample. A short sample does not establish team strength.

Recorded 4 Oct 2026, 12:00 · Prague

What does your price change?

Enter the odds you see. Compare them with the published estimate and explore both possible outcomes.

Your odds

Model stake (CZK)

Model scenario

Published estimate

50.1 %

Fixed at publication

Break-even chance

39.5 %

Changes with your odds

Loading chart…

Compare the estimate with the chance needed to cover your stake at these odds.

Difference

+10.56 pp

Above the model’s break-even point

A model comparison, not a measured advantage.

What we found

Saved at publication · 4 October 2026 at 12:01

1Detroit captain Dylan Larkin was limited in morning skate with an injury, so his availability is uncertain.
2Forward Marco Kasper will not play, and another source lists defenseman Jacob Bernard-Docker as out, weakening Detroit.
3Winnipeg goalie Connor Hellebuyck is suspended and Stuart Skinner is projected to start, which helps Detroit.

All findings and sources

Sources

Jets starting goalie Connor Hellebuyck is suspended and unavailable for this game; Stuart Skinner is projected to start for Winnipeg.
www.nhl.com · 3 October 2026 at 02:00
Red Wings forward Marco Kasper will not play; he finished a 2-0 loss to the Rangers on Friday but was undergoing evaluation.
www.nhl.com · 3 October 2026 at 02:00
Red Wings captain Dylan Larkin (upper body) was a limited participant in the morning skate, with coach Todd McLellan hoping he could play.
www.nhl.com · 3 October 2026 at 02:00
Red Wings defenseman Jacob Bernard-Docker (upper body) is listed as injured and out.
www.bleachernation.com · 4 October 2026 at 02:00
Jets players Elias Salomonsson (shoulder), Walker Duehr (lower body) and Garrett Brown (lower body) are injured and unavailable.
www.nhl.com · 3 October 2026 at 02:00
This is the Red Wings' second home game of the 2026-27 season after an 0-1 start (2-0 loss to the Rangers on Opening Night), while the Jets enter at 0-0-1.
www.nhl.com · 3 October 2026 at 02:00

Saved sources and match evidence

Match evidence

NHL20262027Regular season

Saved inputs for this analysis. Expand results to see the matches.

Detroit Red Wings

Home

Latest recorded resultsL0:2L1:8L3:4L3:5W6:3

Newest first. Scores from this team’s perspective.

NYR2 Oct 20260 : 2
FLA15 Apr 20261 : 8
TBL13 Apr 20263 : 4
NJD11 Apr 20263 : 5
PHI9 Apr 20266 : 3

Scored / game: 2.6
Conceded / game: 4.2
Recorded games: 10
Rest days: 2

Loading chart…

About this sample

Matching season and phase: 1

Averages use the saved form inputs. The result strip shows up to five usable earlier games. Entries with missing scores or dates, duplicates and games on or after the match day are excluded.

Injury reportsUnavailable

Injury information is unavailable in this snapshot.

Winnipeg Jets

Away

Latest recorded resultsL3:4L1:6L3:5L2:6L1:7

Newest first. Scores from this team’s perspective.

BOS2 Oct 20263 : 4
SJS16 Apr 20261 : 6
UTA14 Apr 20263 : 5
VGK13 Apr 20262 : 6
PHI11 Apr 20261 : 7

Scored / game: 2.5
Conceded / game: 3.9
Recorded games: 10
Rest days: 2

Loading chart…

About this sample

Matching season and phase: 1

Averages use the saved form inputs. The result strip shows up to five usable earlier games. Entries with missing scores or dates, duplicates and games on or after the match day are excluded.

Injury reportsUnavailable

Injury information is unavailable in this snapshot.

Data sources

Home form · Away form
api-web.nhle.com
Retrieved
Not recorded
Odds
the-odds-api.com
Retrieved
4 Oct 2026, 11:45 · Prague
Odds
sportsgameodds
Retrieved
4 Oct 2026, 11:45 · Prague

Data timestampsPrague

Context saved: 4 Oct 2026, 12:00 · Prague
Selected odds captured: 4 Oct 2026, 11:45 · Prague
Bookmaker odds updated: 4 Oct 2026, 11:45 · Prague

Retrieval time is when the source was read, not when its information changed. Times are shown in Prague time; date-only records keep the provider’s calendar day.

Limits of these inputs

Confirmed lineups are not recorded. Missing injury entries do not confirm a healthy squad.
A short score history does not establish team strength or predictive accuracy.
Odds imply a price threshold. EV depends on the model estimate and does not establish future profit.
These are saved inputs, not a live feed. Their capture times do not by themselves prove they were available before the match.

Advanced data and methodology

Best odds 2.53 (1xBet) · fair price 2.00 · play from 2.00

Model version: consensus-blend-v3
Input coverage: 65 %
Published: 4 Oct 2026, 12:01 · Prague
Price source: 1xBet
Bookmaker updated: 4 Oct 2026, 11:45 · Prague
Expected return (model): 26.7 %
Full Kelly (model calculation): 17.5 %

Model estimate from data and market · how we calculate it

Your next step

Get the context for more matches

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Result history How it works

All analyses

Complete historical sample

Match played 4 October 2026 at 19:00. Later result: Lost · Recorded 4 October 2026 at 23:00.

The sections below describe the estimate and inputs saved before the match. The recorded outcome is separate and does not change that estimate.

Experimental model estimate; independently validated profitability has not been established.

NHLLost

Detroit Red Wings vs Winnipeg Jets

4 October 2026 at 19:00· Prague time

My saved analyses →

Bookmarks and favourites stay in this browser. Star a team or league to personalise the schedule.

Published selection

Detroit Red Wings

Recorded odds: 2.53
Estimated chance: 50.1 %

Outcome risk: Higher · An estimate, not a certainty

Published · 4 October 2026 at 12:01

The selection and estimate are saved at publication. Your inputs in the calculator only change the comparison.

Compare my odds

Team form at a glance

Up to 5 prior games · shared 0–100% scale

Loading chart…

A snapshot of recent results, not a prediction of this match.

How to read the five axes

Five observed rates from up to five verified prior games, on the same 0–100% scale. This describes a short sample, not a prediction or a team strength score.

Why this selection?

Recent games and scoring averagesSee the results behind the form chart

Detroit Red Wings
Winnipeg Jets

Loading chart…

Goals / gameSame scale · 0–4.2

Home

Detroit Red Wings

Sample: 10 games
Rest: 2 d

For2.6

Against4.2

Latest resultsNewest first

2 Oct 2026 · NYR

Away

Winnipeg Jets

Sample: 10 games
Rest: 2 d

For2.5

Against3.9

Latest resultsNewest first

2 Oct 2026 · BOS

Up to 5 prior results, newest first. Saved averages can use a larger sample. A short sample does not establish team strength.

Recorded 4 Oct 2026, 12:00 · Prague

What does your price change?

Enter the odds you see. Compare them with the published estimate and explore both possible outcomes.

Your odds

Model stake (CZK)

Model scenario

Published estimate

50.1 %

Fixed at publication

Break-even chance

39.5 %

Changes with your odds

Loading chart…

Compare the estimate with the chance needed to cover your stake at these odds.

Difference

+10.56 pp

Above the model’s break-even point

A model comparison, not a measured advantage.

What we found

Saved at publication · 4 October 2026 at 12:01

1Detroit captain Dylan Larkin was limited in morning skate with an injury, so his availability is uncertain.
2Forward Marco Kasper will not play, and another source lists defenseman Jacob Bernard-Docker as out, weakening Detroit.
3Winnipeg goalie Connor Hellebuyck is suspended and Stuart Skinner is projected to start, which helps Detroit.

All findings and sources

Sources

Jets starting goalie Connor Hellebuyck is suspended and unavailable for this game; Stuart Skinner is projected to start for Winnipeg.
www.nhl.com · 3 October 2026 at 02:00
Red Wings forward Marco Kasper will not play; he finished a 2-0 loss to the Rangers on Friday but was undergoing evaluation.
www.nhl.com · 3 October 2026 at 02:00
Red Wings captain Dylan Larkin (upper body) was a limited participant in the morning skate, with coach Todd McLellan hoping he could play.
www.nhl.com · 3 October 2026 at 02:00
Red Wings defenseman Jacob Bernard-Docker (upper body) is listed as injured and out.
www.bleachernation.com · 4 October 2026 at 02:00
Jets players Elias Salomonsson (shoulder), Walker Duehr (lower body) and Garrett Brown (lower body) are injured and unavailable.
www.nhl.com · 3 October 2026 at 02:00
This is the Red Wings' second home game of the 2026-27 season after an 0-1 start (2-0 loss to the Rangers on Opening Night), while the Jets enter at 0-0-1.
www.nhl.com · 3 October 2026 at 02:00

Saved sources and match evidence

Match evidence

NHL20262027Regular season

Saved inputs for this analysis. Expand results to see the matches.

Detroit Red Wings

Home

Latest recorded resultsL0:2L1:8L3:4L3:5W6:3

Newest first. Scores from this team’s perspective.

NYR2 Oct 20260 : 2
FLA15 Apr 20261 : 8
TBL13 Apr 20263 : 4
NJD11 Apr 20263 : 5
PHI9 Apr 20266 : 3

Scored / game: 2.6
Conceded / game: 4.2
Recorded games: 10
Rest days: 2

Loading chart…

About this sample

Matching season and phase: 1

Averages use the saved form inputs. The result strip shows up to five usable earlier games. Entries with missing scores or dates, duplicates and games on or after the match day are excluded.

Injury reportsUnavailable

Injury information is unavailable in this snapshot.

Winnipeg Jets

Away

Latest recorded resultsL3:4L1:6L3:5L2:6L1:7

Newest first. Scores from this team’s perspective.

BOS2 Oct 20263 : 4
SJS16 Apr 20261 : 6
UTA14 Apr 20263 : 5
VGK13 Apr 20262 : 6
PHI11 Apr 20261 : 7

Scored / game: 2.5
Conceded / game: 3.9
Recorded games: 10
Rest days: 2

Loading chart…

About this sample

Matching season and phase: 1

Averages use the saved form inputs. The result strip shows up to five usable earlier games. Entries with missing scores or dates, duplicates and games on or after the match day are excluded.

Injury reportsUnavailable

Injury information is unavailable in this snapshot.

Data sources

Home form · Away form
api-web.nhle.com
Retrieved
Not recorded
Odds
the-odds-api.com
Retrieved
4 Oct 2026, 11:45 · Prague
Odds
sportsgameodds
Retrieved
4 Oct 2026, 11:45 · Prague

Data timestampsPrague

Context saved: 4 Oct 2026, 12:00 · Prague
Selected odds captured: 4 Oct 2026, 11:45 · Prague
Bookmaker odds updated: 4 Oct 2026, 11:45 · Prague

Retrieval time is when the source was read, not when its information changed. Times are shown in Prague time; date-only records keep the provider’s calendar day.

Limits of these inputs

Confirmed lineups are not recorded. Missing injury entries do not confirm a healthy squad.
A short score history does not establish team strength or predictive accuracy.
Odds imply a price threshold. EV depends on the model estimate and does not establish future profit.
These are saved inputs, not a live feed. Their capture times do not by themselves prove they were available before the match.

Advanced data and methodology

Best odds 2.53 (1xBet) · fair price 2.00 · play from 2.00

Model version: consensus-blend-v3
Input coverage: 65 %
Published: 4 Oct 2026, 12:01 · Prague
Price source: 1xBet
Bookmaker updated: 4 Oct 2026, 11:45 · Prague
Expected return (model): 26.7 %
Full Kelly (model calculation): 17.5 %

Model estimate from data and market · how we calculate it

Your next step

Get the context for more matches

Free access or Premium for 399 CZK/month. See exactly what each plan includes.

Create a free account Compare membership plans

Result history How it works