Match played 20 September 2026 at 01:05. Later result: Won · Recorded 20 September 2026 at 11:00.
The sections below describe the estimate and inputs saved before the match. The recorded outcome is separate and does not change that estimate.
20 September 2026 at 01:05· Prague time
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Published selection
Outcome risk: Moderate · An estimate, not a certainty
Published · 19 September 2026 at 11:00
The selection and estimate are saved at publication. Your inputs in the calculator only change the comparison.
This analysis has no verified form snapshot.
Historical analysis: its commentary lacks a verified data snapshot. The probability and odds are unchanged; the figures shown are recalculated from them.
Texas Rangers ML
Enter the odds you see. Compare them with the published estimate and explore both possible outcomes.
Published estimate
68 %
Fixed at publication
Break-even chance
74.1 %
Changes with your odds
Compare the estimate with the chance needed to cover your stake at these odds.
Difference
−6.07 pp
Below the model’s break-even point
A model comparison, not a measured advantage.
Two possible net outcomes
If won
+35 CZK
Estimated chance 68 %
If lost
−100 CZK
Estimated chance 32 %
Payout incl. stake if won135 CZK
Model average (EV)
−8.2 CZK
Probability-weighted average, not the result of this match.
Arithmetic corrected from the original published inputs. Original records remain unchanged.
Model estimate from data and market · how we calculate it
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